AZ-04 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Greg Stanton (D)" at 96.0% on "AZ-04 House Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Greg Stanton (D)
▼0.596%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $40KLiquidity $38Kin 23 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Greg Stanton (D)
96.0%
▼0.5
Zuhdi Jasser (R)
4.35%
▲1.8

Probability over time

Greg Stanton (D)
Zuhdi Jasser (R)
02550751008/259/79/159/2310/110/910/12
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.