Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?
Polymarket traders put "No Hormuz Agreement" at 88.3% on "Who wins the Senate pending Hormuz Agreement by Oct 23?". $549K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
No Hormuz Agreement
–88%
PoliticsVol $549KTotal volume $542KLiquidity $1.2MComments 2in 23 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
No Hormuz Agreement
88.3%
–
Hormuz Agreement; D Senate
6.55%
–
Hormuz Agreement; R Senate
4.15%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
