AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 26.5% on "AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼0.527%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $11KLiquidity $91Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
26.5%
▼0.5
Republican 10-15%
24.0%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
16.9%
▼2.2
Republican 15-20%
13.5%
–
Republican 0-5%
7.20%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-5%
5.15%
▲0.7
Republican 25%+
4.35%
▲0.6
Democrat 5%+
0.85%
–
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 0-5%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %
