AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.0% on "AZ-05 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▼3.030%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $99Liquidity $952in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
▼3.0
Republican 25%+
28.5%
▼5.5
Republican 10-15%
28.5%
▼4.5
Republican 0-5%
28.5%
▼5.5
Republican 5-10%
28.0%
–
Republican 15-20%
21.0%
▼4.5
Democrat 0-5%
7.00%
▲0.5
Democrat 5%+
6.00%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
