AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 37.5% on "AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
▲6.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $178Liquidity $714in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
37.5%
▲6.5
Democrat 15-18%
36.5%
▲5.0
Democrat 12-15%
30.0%
▼1.5
Republican 0-3%
26.5%
▲1.0
Republican 6%+
26.0%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
