AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 3-6%" at 23.5% on "AZ-06 House Election Margin of Victory". $42 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 3-6%
–24%
PoliticsVol $42Total volume $12KLiquidity $176Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 3-6%
23.5%
–
Democrat 6-9%
18.0%
–
Democrat 0-3%
18.0%
–
Republican 0-3%
14.5%
–
Democrat 9-12%
10.5%
–
Democrat 12-15%
7.50%
▼1.8
Republican 3-6%
4.40%
–
Democrat 18%+
1.45%
–
Democrat 15-18%
0.80%
–
Republican 6%+
0.35%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Democrat 12-15%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
