AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 24.5% on "AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 14.0%p from yesterday. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▼14.025%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $863in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
24.5%
▼14.0
Democrat 3%+
24.0%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-3%
17.8%
▼18.2
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
