AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 6-9%" at 28.5% on "AZ-08 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. $36 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 6-9%
▼0.528%
PoliticsVol $36Total volume $10KLiquidity $119Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 6-9%
28.5%
▼0.5
Republican 3-6%
23.0%
▼0.5
Republican 9-12%
18.0%
–
Democrat 0-3%
11.7%
▲3.9
Republican 12-15%
6.50%
▼4.0
Republican 21%+
5.50%
▲0.7
Republican 15-18%
5.50%
▼4.5
Republican 18-21%
4.20%
–
Democrat 3%+
3.10%
▼1.3
Republican 0-3%
1.60%
–
Probability over time
Republican 6-9%
Republican 3-6%
Republican 9-12%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 12-15%
Republican 21%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
