AZ-09 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Paul Gosar (R)" at 94.5% on "AZ-09 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Paul Gosar (R)
–95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $37KLiquidity $48Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Paul Gosar (R)
94.5%
–
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
4.25%
▲1.1
Probability over time
Paul Gosar (R)
Dani Sterbinsky (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
