AZ-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲8.039%
PoliticsVol $180Total volume $213Liquidity $8.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
38.5%
▲8.0
Republican 5-10%
34.0%
▲8.5
Republican 0-5%
30.5%
▼5.5
Republican 30-35%
29.0%
▼8.0
Republican 20-25%
28.5%
▼11.0
Republican 15-20%
26.0%
▲6.0
Republican 35%+
24.5%
▼10.0
Republican 25-30%
9.00%
▼25.0
Democrat Wins
2.55%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
