Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?
Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 25.5% on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by...?". $100 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.
Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
–26%
PoliticsVol $100Total volume $100Liquidity $587in 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability
Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
25.5%
–
January 31, 2027
12.0%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
