Balance of Power: 2028 Election

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Trifecta" at 54.0% on "Balance of Power: 2028 Election". $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
Democratic Trifecta
–54%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $5Liquidity $20Kin 2 years (Nov 8)
Current probability

Nov 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Trifecta
54.0%
–
D President, R Senate, D House
38.5%
–
R President, R Senate, D House
38.0%
–
D President, R Senate, R House
36.5%
–
D President, D Senate, R House
36.0%
–
R President, D Senate, D House
36.0%
–
R President, D Senate, R House
35.5%
–
Republican Trifecta
11.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.