Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Most likely right now
Flávio Bolsonaro
1.086%
PoliticsVol $8.4KTotal volume $5.2MLiquidity $1.6MComments 50in 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Flávio Bolsonaro
85.5%
1.0
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
6.75%
1.3
Renan Santos
3.85%
Ronaldo Caiado
0.40%
Tarcisio de Freitas
0.15%
Jair Bolsonaro
0.15%
Fernando Haddad
0.15%
Michelle Bolsonaro
0.15%
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0.15%
Ratinho Júnior
0.15%
Romeu Zema
0.15%
Camilo Santana
0.15%
Geraldo Alckmin
0.15%
Aldo Rebelo
0.15%
Eduardo Leite
0.15%
Tereza Cristina
0.05%
Helder Barbalho
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.