Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Polymarket traders put "Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva" at 100.0% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place". Up 61.1%p from yesterday. $1.6M traded in the last 24 hours. There are 18 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.
Most likely right now
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
▲61.1100%
PoliticsVol $1.6MTotal volume $10.9MLiquidity $3.5MComments 75Closed (Oct 5)
Current probability
Oct 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
100.0%
▲61.1
Flávio Bolsonaro
0.20%
▼61.3
Tarcisio de Freitas
0.05%
–
Jair Bolsonaro
0.05%
–
Fernando Haddad
0.05%
–
Michelle Bolsonaro
0.05%
–
Eduardo Bolsonaro
0.05%
–
Ratinho Júnior
0.05%
–
Renan Santos
0.05%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.05%
–
Romeu Zema
0.05%
–
Camilo Santana
0.05%
–
Geraldo Alckmin
0.05%
–
Aldo Rebelo
0.05%
–
Eduardo Leite
0.05%
–
Tereza Cristina
0.05%
–
Helder Barbalho
0.05%
–
Augusto Cury
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva
Flávio Bolsonaro
Tarcisio de Freitas
Jair Bolsonaro
Fernando Haddad
Michelle Bolsonaro
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-05 · y-axis %
