Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 93.5% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner". $4.1K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.
Most likely right now
Lula
–94%
PoliticsVol $4.1KTotal volume $3.6KLiquidity $98KComments 1in 1 months (Oct 4)
Current probability
Sep 1 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lula
93.5%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
6.00%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
1.40%
–
Renan Santos
0.55%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.55%
–
Clariana Barao
0.55%
–
Hertz Dias
0.55%
–
Samara
0.55%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.55%
–
Ronaldo Caiado
0.50%
–
Zema
0.50%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.50%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
