Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner
Polymarket traders put "Flavio Bolsonaro" at 99.9% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round Winner". Up 61.4%p from yesterday. $4.6M traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 5.
Most likely right now
Flavio Bolsonaro
▲61.4100%
PoliticsVol $4.6MTotal volume $5.8MLiquidity $2.6MComments 65Closed (Oct 5)
Current probability
Oct 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Flavio Bolsonaro
99.9%
▲61.4
Lula
0.15%
▼61.9
Ronaldo Caiado
0.05%
–
Zema
0.05%
–
Renan Santos
0.05%
–
Pablo Marçal
0.05%
–
Escritor Augusto Cury
0.05%
–
Rui Costa Pimenta
0.05%
–
Clariana Barao
0.05%
–
Hertz Dias
0.05%
–
Samara
0.05%
–
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
0.05%
–
Edmilson Costa
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Flavio Bolsonaro
Lula
Ronaldo Caiado
Zema
Renan Santos
Pablo Marçal
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-05 · y-axis %
