Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place

Polymarket traders put "Ronaldo Caiado" at 40.5% on "Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 4th Place". $376 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 13 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 4.

Most likely right now
Ronaldo Caiado
41%
PoliticsVol $376Total volume $376Liquidity $15Kin 11 days (Oct 4)
Current probability

Sep 23 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ronaldo Caiado
40.5%
Augusto Cury
38.0%
Renan Santos
25.5%
Pablo Marçal
14.0%
Veterinário Wilson Grassi
13.5%
Zema
8.50%
Edmilson Costa
5.50%
Hertz Dias
5.50%
Rui Costa Pimenta
5.50%
Samara
5.50%
Clariana Barao
5.00%
Flavio Bolsonaro
5.00%
Lula
5.00%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.