Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas

Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 44.5% on "Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Amazonas". $2.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
Lula
–45%
PoliticsVol $2.2KTotal volume $1.8KLiquidity $1.1Kin 20 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
44.5%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
30.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.