Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco

Polymarket traders put "Lula" at 96.6% on "Brazil Presidential Election Second Round: 1st Place in Pernambuco". $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 26.

Most likely right now
Lula
–97%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $667Liquidity $24Kin 20 days (Oct 26)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Lula
96.6%
–
Flavio Bolsonaro
2.75%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.