CA-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 95.7% on "CA-04 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $14KLiquidity $32Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democratic Party
95.7%
–
Republican Party
3.45%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Democratic Party
Republican Party
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
