CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)
Polymarket traders put "Mike Thompson" at 77.5% on "CA-04 House Election Winner (by individual)". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $0 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 5.
Most likely right now
Mike Thompson
▼1.078%
PoliticsVol $0Total volume $14KLiquidity $54Kin 26 days (Nov 5)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mike Thompson
77.5%
▼1.0
Eric Jones
22.5%
–
Probability over time
Mike Thompson
Eric Jones
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
