CA-05 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Tom McClintock (R)" at 91.5% on "CA-05 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Tom McClintock (R)
–92%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $45Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Tom McClintock (R)
91.5%
–
Michael Masuda (D)
6.70%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Tom McClintock (R)
Michael Masuda (D)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
