CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 25-30%" at 39.5% on "CA-09 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $55 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 25-30%
▲1.540%
PoliticsVol $55Total volume $55Liquidity $793in 27 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 25-30%
39.5%
▲1.5
Democrat 30%+
39.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 0-5%
38.0%
–
Republican Wins
38.0%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 30%+
Democrat 0-5%
Republican Wins
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-07 · y-axis %
