CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45-50%" at 31.5% on "CA-10 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $21 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 45-50%
1.032%
PoliticsVol $21Total volume $21Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 45-50%
31.5%
1.0
Democrat 35-40%
30.5%
3.0
Democrat 40-45%
29.0%
3.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.