CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)
Polymarket traders put "Scott Wiener" at 75.0% on "CA-11 House Election Winner (Individual)". Up 1.5%p from yesterday. $269 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Scott Wiener
▲1.575%
PoliticsVol $269Total volume $19KLiquidity $41Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Scott Wiener
75.0%
▲1.5
Connie Chan
22.0%
▲0.5
Probability over time
Scott Wiener
Connie Chan
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
