CA-13 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Adam Gray (D)" at 96.1% on "CA-13 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Adam Gray (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $46KLiquidity $52Kin 22 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 12 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Adam Gray (D)
96.1%
–
Kevin Lincoln (R)
2.95%
–
Probability over time
Adam Gray (D)
Kevin Lincoln (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-12 · y-axis %
