CA-14 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 99.7% on "CA-14 House Election Winner". $2 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
–100%
PoliticsVol $2Total volume $43KLiquidity $36Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
99.7%
–
Republican Party
0.25%
–

Probability over time

Democratic Party
Republican Party
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.