CA-16 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Sam Liccardo (D)" at 96.4% on "CA-16 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $53 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Sam Liccardo (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol $53Total volume $108KLiquidity $45Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sam Liccardo (D)
96.4%
–
Peter Soulé (R)
1.90%
–
Probability over time
Sam Liccardo (D)
Peter Soulé (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
