CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 45%+" at 32.0% on "CA-18 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 45%+
▼1.532%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $6Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 45%+
32.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 40-45%
32.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 35-40%
32.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 30-35%
32.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 20-25%
32.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 0-5%
32.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 15-20%
31.0%
▼2.5
Democrat 25-30%
30.5%
▼3.5
Democrat 5-15%
30.5%
▼2.0
Republican Wins
29.4%
▲26.5
Probability over time
Democrat 45%+
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-09-12 ~ 2026-09-13 · y-axis %
