CA-24 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Salud Carbajal (D)" at 97.7% on "CA-24 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Salud Carbajal (D)
–98%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $52KLiquidity $34Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Salud Carbajal (D)
97.7%
–
Bob Smith (R)
1.90%
–
Probability over time
Salud Carbajal (D)
Bob Smith (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
