CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 30-35%" at 34.0% on "CA-24 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.0%p from yesterday. $6 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 30-35%
2.034%
PoliticsVol $6Total volume $6Liquidity $1.0Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 30-35%
34.0%
2.0
Democrat 25-30%
32.0%
0.5
Democrat 35-40%
31.5%
0.5
Republican Wins
28.3%
24.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.