CA-27 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 20-25%" at 38.5% on "CA-27 House Election Margin of Victory". $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 20-25%
–39%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $40Liquidity $916in 28 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 20-25%
38.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 5-10%
38.0%
▲0.5
Republican Wins
38.0%
▲0.5
Democrat 25-30%
37.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 0-5%
37.5%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 20-25%
Democrat 15-20%
Democrat 5-10%
Republican Wins
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-06 · y-axis %
