CA-29 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Democratic Party" at 96.7% on "CA-29 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democratic Party
97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $31KLiquidity $25Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democratic Party
96.7%
Republican Party
3.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.