CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 60%+" at 38.0% on "CA-30 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 60%+
▼0.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $2.7Kin 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 60%+
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 50-55%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 35-40%
38.0%
–
Democrat 30-35%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 20-30%
38.0%
–
Republican Wins
6.45%
▲2.8
Probability over time
Democrat 60%+
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 20-30%
Republican Wins
2026-09-29 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
