CA-31 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Gil Cisneros (D)" at 95.5% on "CA-31 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Gil Cisneros (D)
–95%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $18KLiquidity $79Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Gil Cisneros (D)
95.5%
–
Eric Ching (R)
4.00%
–
Probability over time
Gil Cisneros (D)
Eric Ching (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
