CA-36 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Ted Lieu (D)" at 97.0% on "CA-36 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Ted Lieu (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $86KLiquidity $40Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Ted Lieu (D)
97.0%
–
Houston Brignano (R)
2.75%
–
Probability over time
Ted Lieu (D)
Houston Brignano (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
