CA-39 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Mark Takano (D)" at 95.8% on "CA-39 House Election Winner". Down 2.9%p from yesterday. $53 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Mark Takano (D)
▼2.996%
PoliticsVol $53Total volume $59KLiquidity $35Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Mark Takano (D)
95.8%
▼2.9
Steve Manos (R)
1.95%
–
Probability over time
Mark Takano (D)
Steve Manos (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
