CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)

Polymarket traders put "Ken Calvert" at 76.5% on "CA-40 House Election Winner (Individual)". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Ken Calvert
77%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $1.8KLiquidity $1.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Ken Calvert
76.5%
Young Kim
23.5%

Probability over time

Ken Calvert
Young Kim
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.