CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-5%" at 38.5% on "CA-41 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 0-5%
–39%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $804in 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 0-5%
38.5%
–
Democrat 15-20%
38.0%
–
Republican Wins
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 10-15%
37.5%
▼1.0
Probability over time
Democrat 0-5%
Democrat 15-20%
Republican Wins
Democrat 10-15%
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
