CA-42 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Robert Garcia (D)" at 96.3% on "CA-42 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Robert Garcia (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $43KLiquidity $77Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Robert Garcia (D)
96.3%
–
Brian Burley (R)
3.10%
–
Probability over time
Robert Garcia (D)
Brian Burley (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
