CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 65%+" at 37.5% on "CA-43 House Election Margin of Victory". $42 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 65%+
–38%
PoliticsVol $42Total volume $183Liquidity $12Kin 12 days (Nov 3)
Current probability
Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 65%+
37.5%
–
Democrat 60-65%
37.5%
–
Democrat 55-60%
37.5%
–
Democrat 45-50%
37.5%
–
Democrat 40-45%
37.5%
▼2.0
Democrat 25-35%
37.5%
–
Democrat 50-55%
36.5%
–
Democrat 35-40%
6.00%
–
Republican Wins
5.40%
▼31.7
Probability over time
Democrat 65%+
Democrat 60-65%
Democrat 55-60%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 25-35%
2026-09-05 ~ 2026-10-22 · y-axis %
