CA-45 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Derek Tran (D)" at 93.5% on "CA-45 House Election Winner". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $137 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Derek Tran (D)
▼1.094%
PoliticsVol $137Total volume $43KLiquidity $45Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Derek Tran (D)
93.5%
▼1.0
Chuong Vo (R)
5.50%
–
Probability over time
Derek Tran (D)
Chuong Vo (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
