CA-46 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Lou Correa (D)" at 96.0% on "CA-46 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Lou Correa (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $51KLiquidity $71Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Lou Correa (D)
96.0%
–
David Pan (R)
3.70%
–
Probability over time
Lou Correa (D)
David Pan (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
