CA-48 House Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Marni von Wilpert (D)" at 89.5% on "CA-48 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Marni von Wilpert (D)
–90%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $35KLiquidity $54Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Marni von Wilpert (D)
89.5%
–
Jim Desmond (R)
8.50%
–

Probability over time

Marni von Wilpert (D)
Jim Desmond (R)
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.