CA-51 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Sara Jacobs (D)" at 95.6% on "CA-51 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Sara Jacobs (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $34KLiquidity $34Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Sara Jacobs (D)
95.6%
–
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
1.95%
▼0.7
Probability over time
Sara Jacobs (D)
Ricardo Cabrera (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
