CA-52 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Juan Vargas (D)" at 95.9% on "CA-52 House Election Winner". There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Juan Vargas (D)
–96%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $51KLiquidity $39KComments 1in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Juan Vargas (D)
95.9%
–
Jeff Belle (R)
3.25%
–
Probability over time
Juan Vargas (D)
Jeff Belle (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
