California Governor Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Xavier Becerra" at 96.0% on "California Governor Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. $50K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 23 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Xavier Becerra
–96%
PoliticsVol $50KTotal volume $41.7MLiquidity $6.8MComments 88in 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Xavier Becerra
96.0%
–
Steve Hilton
3.50%
–
Tom Steyer
0.10%
–
Rick Caruso
0.05%
–
Alex Padilla
0.05%
–
Katie Porter
0.05%
–
Antonio Villaraigosa
0.05%
–
Stephen Cloobeck
0.05%
–
Butch Ware
0.05%
–
Betty Yee
0.05%
–
Toni Atkins
0.05%
–
Kyle Langford
0.05%
–
Chad Bianco
0.05%
–
Eleni Kounalakis
0.05%
–
Daniel Mercuri
0.05%
–
Tony Thurmond
0.05%
–
Michael Younger
0.05%
–
Leo Zacky
0.05%
–
Nicole Shanahan
0.05%
–
Eric Swalwell
0.05%
–
Kamala Harris
0.05%
–
Matt Mahan
0.05%
–
Elaine Culotti
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Xavier Becerra
Steve Hilton
Tom Steyer
Rick Caruso
Alex Padilla
Katie Porter
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
