California Governor Election Winner

Most likely right now
Xavier Becerra
95%
PoliticsVol $1.8KTotal volume $40.8MLiquidity $6.4MComments 89in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Xavier Becerra
95.2%
Steve Hilton
4.75%
Tom Steyer
0.15%
Rick Caruso
0.05%
Alex Padilla
0.05%
Katie Porter
0.05%
Antonio Villaraigosa
0.05%
Stephen Cloobeck
0.05%
Butch Ware
0.05%
Betty Yee
0.05%
Toni Atkins
0.05%
Kyle Langford
0.05%
Chad Bianco
0.05%
Eleni Kounalakis
0.05%
Daniel Mercuri
0.05%
Tony Thurmond
0.05%
Michael Younger
0.05%
Leo Zacky
0.05%
Nicole Shanahan
0.05%
Eric Swalwell
0.05%
Kamala Harris
0.05%
Matt Mahan
0.05%
Elaine Culotti
0.05%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.