California Governor Election: Turnout

Polymarket traders put "13M-13.5M" at 36.5% on "California Governor Election: Turnout". Down 1.0%p from yesterday. $286 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
13M-13.5M
▼1.037%
PoliticsVol $286Total volume $9.6KLiquidity $58Kin 18 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
13M-13.5M
36.5%
▼1.0
<10.5M
22.1%
▲17.5
14M-14.5M
21.7%
▲17.9
12.5M-13M
18.5%
▲1.0
10.5M-11M
11.1%
–
13.5M-14M
10.5%
▼1.0
14.5M+
9.55%
▲8.9
11.5M-12M
8.70%
▲1.7
12M-12.5M
8.50%
▲0.5
11M-11.5M
2.75%
▼0.9

Probability over time

13M-13.5M
<10.5M
14M-14.5M
12.5M-13M
10.5M-11M
13.5M-14M
02550751008/269/129/209/2710/410/1110/17
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-10-17 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.