California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Fiona Ma" at 95.5% on "California Lieutenant Governor Election Winner". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Fiona Ma
▼0.596%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $31KLiquidity $206KComments 1in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Fiona Ma
95.5%
▼0.5
Rakesh Christian
2.15%
▲1.6
Janelle Kellman
2.00%
▲0.8
Josh Fryday
1.55%
–
Oliver Ma
1.25%
–
Ebie Lynch
1.05%
–
David Fennell
0.75%
–
Jeyson Lopez
0.60%
–
Sean Collinson
0.30%
–
Michael Tubbs
0.25%
–
David Collenberg
0.15%
–

Probability over time

Fiona Ma
Rakesh Christian
Janelle Kellman
Josh Fryday
Oliver Ma
Ebie Lynch
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.