California Recall Election Reform Proposition

Polymarket traders put "California Recall Election Reform Proposition" at 45.0%. Up 3.0%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
California Recall Election Reform Proposition
3.045%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $20Liquidity $914in 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
California Recall Election Reform Proposition
45.0%
3.0

Probability over time

California Recall Election Reform Proposition
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.