California Recall Election Reform Proposition

Polymarket traders put "California Recall Election Reform Proposition" at 59.5%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
California Recall Election Reform Proposition
▼1.560%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $474Liquidity $879in 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
California Recall Election Reform Proposition
59.5%
▼1.5

Probability over time

California Recall Election Reform Proposition
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.