Canada applies for full EU membership by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 8.5% on "Canada applies for full EU membership by...?". $37 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–9%
PoliticsVol $37Total volume $2.3KLiquidity $830Comments 1in 1.1 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
8.50%
–
December 31, 2026
2.10%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751009/189/2810/810/1810/2811/711/15
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-15 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.