Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 31.5% on "Canada becomes EU Associate Member by...?". Down 25.5%p from yesterday. $138 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jul 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▼25.532%
PoliticsVol $138Total volume $13KLiquidity $11Kin 8 months (Jul 1)
Current probability

Nov 2 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
31.5%
▼25.5
June 30, 2027
29.0%
▼24.0
December 31, 2026
4.10%
–

Probability over time

December 31, 2027
June 30, 2027
December 31, 2026
02550751009/189/2610/410/1210/2010/2811/2
2026-09-18 ~ 2026-11-02 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.