Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "José Maria Neves" at 77.5% on "Cape Verde Presidential Election Winner". There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
José Maria Neves
–78%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $26KLiquidity $110Kin 1 months (Nov 16)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
José Maria Neves
77.5%
–
Joana Rosa
13.7%
▼2.6
Casimiro de Pina
2.90%
–
Péricles Tavares
1.45%
–
Janine Lélis
1.15%
–
Fernando Delgado
0.25%
–
Milton Paiva
0.15%
–

Probability over time

José Maria Neves
Joana Rosa
Casimiro de Pina
Péricles Tavares
Janine Lélis
Fernando Delgado
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.