ChatGPT Outage by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 82.5% on "ChatGPT Outage by...?". $218 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
–83%
TechVol $218Total volume $218Liquidity $396in 26 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
82.5%
–
October 15
46.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.