China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
Most likely right now
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
▲1.020%
PoliticsVol $50Total volume $8.2KLiquidity $11Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
China ballistic missile launch by December 31?
19.5%
▲1.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
